I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting.
When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake.
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things.
In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right.
You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie.
I don't think you should limit what you read.
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
